Developing a framework for the assessment of current and future flood risk in Venice, Italy
نویسندگان
چکیده
Abstract. Flooding causes serious impacts on the old town of Venice, its residents, and cultural heritage. Despite this existence-defining condition, limited scientific knowledge flood risk Venice is available to support decisions mitigate existing future impacts. Therefore, study proposes a assessment framework provide methodical flexible instrument for decision-making management in Venice. We first use state-of-the-art hydrodynamic urban model identify hazard characteristics inside city Exposure, vulnerability, corresponding damage are then modeled by multi-parametric, micro-scale which adapted specific context with dense structure high awareness. Furthermore, set individual protection scenarios implemented account possible variability preparedness residents. This developed was tested event 12 November 2019 proved able reproduce resulting well. A scenario analysis based meteorological like conducted derive estimates year 2060 sea level rise combination (partially) functioning storm surge barrier, Modulo Sperimentale Elettromeccanico (MOSE). The suggests that MOSE barrier could prevent considered almost entirely. partially closed (open Lido inlet) reduce up 34 % optimistic prognoses. However, be 10 600 higher compared partial closure depending different levels protection.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1561-8633', '1684-9981']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2381-2022